探析我国房地产业的财务风险及控制——以恒大为例

论文总字数：39069字

目 录

摘要 I

Abstract II

一、绪 论

1.1研究背景及意义 1

1.2研究内容及思路 2

二、文献综述 3

三、财务风险理论分析

3.1财务风险含义 6

3.2财务风险类型 6

3.3财务风险特征 7

四、基于宏观角度对恒大地产财务风险的研究

4.1恒大地产发展现状概述 7

4.2贷款利率对恒大财务风险的影响 8

4.3土地政策对恒大财务风险的影响 10

4.4税收政策对恒大财务风险的影响 11

五、基于因子分析对恒大地产财务风险的评价

5.1因子分析基本原理 12

5.2利用因子分析法建立财务风险评价模型 12

5.2.1因子分析适用性检验 12

5.2.2确定因子变量 13

5.2.3公因子方差分析 14

5.2.4因子变量命名解释 15

5.2.5财务风险综合得分评价模型 17

5.3恒大地产财务风险评价结果分析 18

5.4基于Z-score修正模型的印证分析 19

六、基于微观角度对恒大地产财务风险的研究分析

6.1恒大地产主要财务指标 20

6.2财务风险分解分析 22

6.2.1融资风险分析 22

6.2.2投资风险分析 24

6.2.3运营风险分析 25

6.3财务风险管控措施 25

6.3.1风险意识树立 25

6.3.2筹资活动风险管控 26

6.3.3投资活动风险管控 26

6.3.4运营活动风险管控 27

七、结 论

参考文献 III

致 谢 IV

探析我国房地产行业的财务风险与控制

——以恒大地产为例

李思月

，China

Abstract： China's real estate industry is growing, although faced with the economic downturn and real estate stocks of great pressure, but the real estate industry is still expanding the scale of development, to stimulate the vast consumer market, so that more money into the real estate Industry, investment demands increase, the real estate industry showed a warm trend. With the inflow of large amounts of funds, the internal financial management of the industry is very necessary, financial risk in fact runs through all aspects of our production and operation, we need to control the whole process.

For the analysis of financial risk can not be confined to the micro-financial data analysis, but also to focus on the enterprise is an individual, it is a consortium. The development of enterprises needs to adapt to the changing environment of the whole market, but also can not be separated from the macro policy guidance and control. This paper will integrate the macro, meso and micro levels to form a system, in the macro field, the appropriate access to economic output, land prices, financial lending rates and tax factors, in the field of view is the focus of the real estate 131 enterprises Ranking, and to determine the Hengda real estate in the industry in the financial situation. At the micro level, Hengda Real Estate is chosen as the object of analysis. The choice of Evergrande real estate because it is in the real estate industry is more representative, is a typical high debt, highly leveraged enterprises. Select more than 130 enterprises and more than 20 financial indicators to establish financial risk analysis model, Hengda real estate financial risk evaluation, a reasonable assessment of its risk situation and from the perspective of financing, investment, operation to prevent and control measures to reduce financial risk, Hope that through this analysis and early warning can effectively help Hengda real estate to strengthen the financial risk control, put forward the relevant measures can promote the development of the entire real estate industry.

Key words：Financial risk; Hengda real estate; macro-control; risk assessment model; risk control

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