融资约束条件下的江苏制造企业出口行为研究

论文总字数：29059字

目 录

1. 引言……………………………………………………………………6

1.1研究背景……………………………………………………………………………………6

1.2研究目的及意义……………………………………………………………………………6

1.3研究思路及方法……………………………………………………………………………7

1.4全文结构……………………………………………………………………………………7

2.文献综述………………………………………………………………8

2.1国外文献综述………………………………………………………………………………8

2.1.1完全金融市场条件假设………………………………………………………………8

2.1.2不完全金融市场条件假设……………………………………………………………8

2.2国内文献综述………………………………………………………………………………9

2.2.1基于企业规模的研究…………………………………………………………………9

2.2.2基于所有制的研究……………………………………………………………………9

2.2.3基于对企业出口参与和规模影响的研究……………………………………………9

2.3本文的创新之处……………………………………………………………………………9

2.3.1研究视角的创新………………………………………………………………………9

2.3.2研究数据的创新……………………………………………………………………1 0

3.江苏省制造企业发展及出口现状…………………………………1 0

3.1江苏制造企业发展现状…………………………………………………………………1 0

3.1.1企业数量……………………………………………………………………………1 0

3.1.2就业人数……………………………………………………………………………1 0

3.1.3产业总值及占比……………………………………………………………………1 1

3.2江苏制造企业出口现状…………………………………………………………………1 2

3.2.1出口总额……………………………………………………………………………1 2

3.2.2出口贸易方式………………………………………………………………………1 3

3.2.3出口商品结构………………………………………………………………………1 4

4.实证分析……………………………………………………………1 5

4.1数据来源及样本处理……………………………………………………………………1 5

4.2变量的构造………………………………………………………………………………1 5

4.2.1被解释变量…………………………………………………………………………1 6

4.2.2解释变量……………………………………………………………………………1 6

4.2.3控制变量……………………………………………………………………………1 6

4.3计量模型的设定…………………………………………………………………………1 8

4.3.1出口决策的回归模型………………………………………………………………1 8

4.3.2出口密集度的回归模型……………………………………………………………1 8

4.4实证结果分析……………………………………………………………………………1 8

4.4.1分行业变量统计特征………………………………………………………………1 8

4.4.2分所有制变量统计特征……………………………………………………………1 9

4.4.3分地区变量统计特征………………………………………………………………2 0

4.4.4整体计量结果分析…………………………………………………………………2 0

4.4.5分所有制的回归结果分析…………………………………………………………2 2

4.4.6分地区的回归结果分析……………………………………………………………2 3

4.5稳健性检验………………………………………………………………………………2 5

5.主要结论及政策建议………………………………………………2 6

参考文献………………………………………………………………2 8

致谢……………………………………………………………………3 0

融资约束条件下的江苏制造企业出口行为研究

左劲霄

，China

Abstract：This paper uses the panel data of Jiangsu Province in the “China Industrial Enterprise Database” in 2012 to analyze the impact of financing constraints and other corporate characteristics on the export behavior of manufacturing enterprises in Jiangsu Province. The results of quantitative regression show that the foreign financing constraints can definitely have a profound impact on the export decision-making and export intensity of enterprises. The weaker the foreign financing constraints are, the more likely the exports are and the more exports are, and the impact of the inward financing constraints is not significant. In terms of productivity, there are "productivity paradoxes" among enterprises in Jiangsu Province. That is, productivity advantage is not a decisive factor in determining whether an enterprise is exporting or exporting. In terms of ownership, the export behavior of private enterprises is most affected by financing constraints; Mitigation of constraints can best increase the export possibility and export intensity of manufacturing enterprises in southern Jiangsu. Under the severe situation of export situation, reduce credit discrimination for private enterprises, change production and management methods, increase the added value of small and medium-sized enterprises, and give more preferential policies to manufacturing enterprises in the Central and Southern Jiangsu regions, and expand manufacturing in Jiangsu Province. The scale of export of industrial enterprises and the improvement of export quality are of great significance.

Key words：Financial constraint；Sunk cost；Productivity paradox；Export decision；Export intensity；

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